Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.