Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 2
Mainz

Guerreiro (69'), Sule (90+6')
Guerreiro (40')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hanche-Olsen (15'), Onisiwo (24')
Fernandes (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 0-3 Dortmund
Sunday, May 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-4 Stuttgart
Sunday, May 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Mainz 05

Mainz came out on top against Bayern at the end of last month and they will hope to end their campaign on a high by claiming maximum points on Saturday, spoiling Dortmund's title party in the process. However, we cannot see this rampant BVB side being stopped in their tracks, and while there may be some nervy moments during the contest, Terzic's men should do enough to clinch the club's ninth Bundesliga title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
65.82% ( -0.08)	18.17% ( 0.04)	16.01% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 60.81% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.9% (

-0.07)

32.1% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.32% (

-0.08)

53.68% (

0.08)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.86% (

-0.03)

9.14% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.99% (

-0.09)

31.01% (

0.09)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.93% (

0.01)

33.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

0.01)

69.67% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 65.82%

Mainz 05 16.01%

Draw 18.17%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.82%	1-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.17%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 16.01%