Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund2 - 2Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 0-3 Dortmund
Sunday, May 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, May 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-4 Stuttgart
Sunday, May 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, May 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Mainz 05
Mainz came out on top against Bayern at the end of last month and they will hope to end their campaign on a high by claiming maximum points on Saturday, spoiling Dortmund's title party in the process. However, we cannot see this rampant BVB side being stopped in their tracks, and while there may be some nervy moments during the contest, Terzic's men should do enough to clinch the club's ninth Bundesliga title. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
65.82% ( -0.08) | 18.17% ( 0.04) | 16.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.9% ( -0.07) | 32.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.08) | 53.68% ( 0.08) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.86% ( -0.03) | 9.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.09) | 31.01% ( 0.09) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.01) | 33.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.33% ( 0.01) | 69.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund 65.82%
Mainz 05 16.01%
Draw 18.17%
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.82% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 16.01% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs Mainz
Borussia Dortmund
81.2%Draw
10.1%Mainz 05
8.7%69
Form Guide
