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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
40.97% ( -0.47) | 24.64% ( 0.04) | 34.39% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 58.68% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( -0.07) | 44.31% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% ( -0.07) | 66.69% ( 0.07) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( -0.25) | 21.65% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.22% ( -0.39) | 54.78% ( 0.4) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% ( 0.22) | 25.1% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.2% ( 0.31) | 59.8% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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