MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:45:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Ingvartsen (23')
Kohr (61'), Bell (75'), Ajorque (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Endo (41'), Guirassy (64'), Fuhrich (78'), Coulibaly (90+1')
Endo (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Stuttgart

 Mainz have lost form at exactly the wrong time and drifting into mid-table now looks likely, while Stuttgart will be desperate for a win to keep themselves above water. Both Svensson and his opposite number Hoeness have never won when facing their respective opponents ahead of this encounter in four attempts apiece, and that record could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
40.97% (-0.473 -0.47) 24.64% (0.038 0.04) 34.39% (0.441 0.44)
Both teams to score 58.68% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)44.31% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.07 -0.07)66.69% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.255 -0.25)21.65% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.394 -0.39)54.78% (0.397 0.4)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.22099999999999 0.22)25.1% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (0.305 0.31)59.8% (-0.302 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 40.97%
    Stuttgart 34.39%
    Draw 24.64%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.064 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Mainz vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Stuttgart
21.4%
42
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 16
Stuttgart
1-1
Mainz
Guirassy (36')
Wamangituka (70')
Ingvartsen (40' pen.)
Kohr (62'), Barreiro (79'), Fulgini (90+1')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 30
Mainz
0-0
Stuttgart

Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 13
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 19
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 2
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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