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Stuttgart
DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Frankfurt

Tomas (19'), Millot (83')
Guirassy (9'), Tomas (20'), Bredlow (75'), Sosa (80'), Ito (80')
Sosa (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'Dicka (51'), Kamada (55'), Kolo (77' pen.)
Gotze (4'), Sow (5'), Buta (90+2'), Lenz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

 Much will hinge on whether Guirassy and Kolo Muani - who are comfortably these two sides' most dangerous attackers - are able to start in this huge semi-final clash, but Frankfurt are clearly lacking momentum after enduring a winless run of nine league matches in recent times. Glasner's side are suffering with several injuries to key defenders, too, and we can envisage Stuttgart using their strong form under Hoeness and a boisterous Mercedes-Benz Arena in their favour to reach their first final in 10 years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawEintracht Frankfurt
48.58% (0.742 0.74) 23.38% (-0.171 -0.17) 28.03% (-0.576 -0.58)
Both teams to score 59.86% (0.156 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65% (0.40000000000001 0.4)41.35% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (0.404 0.4)63.75% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (0.435 0.44)17.22% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (0.764 0.76)47.51% (-0.768 -0.77)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)27.68% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.249 -0.25)63.23% (0.245 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 48.58%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 28.03%
    Draw 23.38%
StuttgartDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 4%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 28.03%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Frankfurt

Stuttgart
56.8%
Draw
16.2%
Eintracht Frankfurt
27.0%
74
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
gameweek 24
Frankfurt
1-1
Stuttgart
Rode (55')
Rode (27'), Sow (75'), N'Dicka (90+3'), Gotze (90+2')
Wamangituka (75')
Coulibaly (72')
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 7
Stuttgart
1-3
Frankfurt
Tomas (79')
Karazor (31')
Rode (6'), Kamada (55'), Jakic (88')
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 21
Stuttgart
2-3
Frankfurt
Anton (42'), Kalajdzic (70')
N'Dicka (7'), Hrustic (47', 77')
Sep 12, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Frankfurt
1-1
Stuttgart
Kostic (79')
Lenz (57')
Marmoush (88')
Marmoush (32'), Anton (36'), Coulibaly (69'), Mangala (77')
Anton (82')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 24
Frankfurt
1-1
Stuttgart
Kostic (69')
N'Dicka (27'), Hinteregger (31')
Kalajdzic (68')
Wamangituka (54'), Coulibaly (59'), Mangala (77')
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