We said: SC Paderborn 1-1 Stuttgart
Paderborn defeated Werder Bremen on penalties in the previous round, and we can envisage them taking another Bundesliga opponent all of the way on Tuesday night.
The visitors have only won three league games all season and are unlikely to arrive with much confidence, especially with the amount of injuries to key personnel which they currently have.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.46%) and 3-1 (6.37%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.