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Paderborn logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Jan 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Benteler-Arena
Stuttgart

SC Paderborn
1 - 2
Stuttgart

Mavropanos (3' og.)
Pieringer (18'), Muslija (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dias (86'), Guirassy (90+5')
Jose Perea (15'), Guirassy (55'), Mavropanos (72'), Karazor (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between SC Paderborn and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karlsruher 0-1 SC Paderborn
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Stuttgart
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SC Paderborn 1-1 Stuttgart

Paderborn defeated Werder Bremen on penalties in the previous round, and we can envisage them taking another Bundesliga opponent all of the way on Tuesday night. The visitors have only won three league games all season and are unlikely to arrive with much confidence, especially with the amount of injuries to key personnel which they currently have. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.46%) and 3-1 (6.37%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
SC PaderbornDrawStuttgart
52.23% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.22% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 66.47% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)53.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34% (0.0039999999999907 0)12.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)38.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.89% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 52.23%
    Stuttgart 26.54%
    Draw 21.23%
SC PaderbornDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.37%
1-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.45%
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 0.97%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.62%
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 3.1%
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.13%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 26.54%

How you voted: SC Paderborn vs Stuttgart

SC Paderborn
40.8%
Draw
19.7%
Stuttgart
39.5%
76
Head to Head
May 23, 2015 2.30pm
Dec 20, 2014 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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