MX23RW : Friday, September 20 22:54:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
3 - 0
Mainz

Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')
Tuta (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bell (22'), Hanche-Olsen (38'), Shabani (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-3 Schalke
Friday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side head into this fixture in the greatest form across recent weeks, with only outside hopes of qualifying for Europe providing any real motivation for both sets of players. Although Frankfurt arguably have greater individual quality, their league campaign has completely run out of steam, meaning that we can envisage a share of the spoils with Mainz on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
52.08% (0.78400000000001 0.78) 23.51% (-0.221 -0.22) 24.41% (-0.562 -0.56)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (0.453 0.45)44.93% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (0.43300000000001 0.43)67.28% (-0.43199999999999 -0.43)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.462 0.46)17.26% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (0.804 0.8)47.57% (-0.803 -0.8)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)32.34% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.254 -0.25)68.85% (0.255 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 52.08%
    Mainz 05 24.41%
    Draw 23.5%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.08%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.41%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt
52.6%
Draw
31.6%
Mainz 05
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Burkardt (40')
Kolo (67')
Tuta (38')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 34
Mainz
2-2
Frankfurt
Ingvartsen (10', 49')
Caricol (51'), Bell (56')
Tuta (26'), Borre (35')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 17
Frankfurt
1-0
Mainz
Lindstrom (35')

Caricol (90+2')
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 32
Frankfurt
1-1
Mainz
Hrustic (86')
Kostic (30'), Hrustic (49')
Onisiwo (11')
Jan 9, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 15
Mainz
0-2
Frankfurt

Niakhate (22'), Quaison (43')
Silva (24' pen., 72')
Hasebe (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern330011389
2Borussia DortmundDortmund32106247
3RB Leipzig32104227
4Heidenheim32018446
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32019636
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32015416
7Freiburg32015416
8Werder Bremen31204315
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin31202115
10Mainz 05Mainz41218805
11Stuttgart31117704
12Augsburg4112710-34
13Wolfsburg31025503
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach310256-13
15Hoffenheim310259-43
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum300315-40
17St Pauli300316-50
18Holstein Kiel3003311-80


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