Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

May 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz
2 - 3
Schalke

Barreiro (53'), Caricol (70')
Ajorque (40'), Caci (90+11'), Barreiro (90+13'), Kohr (90+14')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bulter (26', 90+12' pen.), Krauss (60')
Drexler (90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Mainz
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 1-0 Schalke 04

Mainz will be looking for an immediate response after last week's disappointment but may not find it easy against a side fighting for their lives. There have been just 16 goals in the last 10 meetings between the sides, and Schalke remain the league's lowest scorers so may struggle, especially on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Schalke 04
54.76% ( 0)	22.07% ( 0.01)	23.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.44% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33% (

-0.04)

39.66% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98% (

-0.04)

62.01% (

0.04)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

-0.01)

14.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.58% (

-0.02)

42.42% (

0.03)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

-0.03)

30.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

-0.04)

66.73% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 54.76%

Schalke 04 23.17%

Draw 22.06%

Mainz 05	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.76%	1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.06%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.17%