Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 1
Mainz

Ljubicic (51')
Kainz (8'), Baumgart (9'), Hubers (86'), Thielmann (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ajorque (17')
Ajorque (34'), Kohr (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite having a relatively poor record away to Koln, Mainz did beat them 5-0 in the reverse fixture back in October, and are in much better shape. Koln have struggled to build on good results this season and could come undone again on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Mainz 05
49.9% ( 0.01)	23.96% ( 0)	26.15% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

-0.01)

45.37% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3% (

-0.01)

67.7% (

0.02)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

18.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71% (

-0)

49.29% (

0.01)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

-0.01)

31.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5% (

-0.02)

67.5% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 49.9%

Mainz 05 26.15%

Draw 23.95%

FC Koln	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.44% 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.9%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.15%