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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
36.1% ( -0.08) | 26.06% ( 0.04) | 37.84% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.01% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.55% ( -0.15) | 50.44% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.62% ( -0.13) | 72.37% ( 0.13) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( -0.12) | 27% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( -0.15) | 62.35% ( 0.15) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.05) | 26.01% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -0.07) | 61.03% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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