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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Mainz logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz

Ngankam (18' pen.)
Cigerci (22'), Tousart (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajorque (57')
Hanche-Olsen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-2 Mainz 05

In addition to winning each of their last four league games – and five of their previous six – Mainz head into Saturday's showdown on the back of successive clean sheets. With that in mind, we expect the 05ers to extend their winning streak to five matches with a third consecutive clean-sheet victory, piling more pressure on relegation-threatened Hertha. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
36.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 26.06% (0.035 0.04) 37.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)50.44% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.134 -0.13)72.37% (0.133 0.13)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.116 -0.12)27% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-0.151 -0.15)62.35% (0.15 0.15)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)26.01% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)61.03% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 36.1%
    Mainz 05 37.84%
    Draw 26.06%
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.84%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Mainz

Hertha Berlin
25.6%
Draw
20.9%
Mainz 05
53.5%
43
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Mainz
Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Mainz
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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