Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz 050 - 1FC Koln
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
| 34.35% | 24.44% | 41.21% |
| Both teams to score 59.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
