Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Nov 22, 2020 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 3
Mainz 05

Petersen (63')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Mateta (2', 34', 40')
Niakhate (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga match between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Mainz 05
41.24%	25.72%	33.04%

Both teams to score 54.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56%

49.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52%

71.48%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25%

23.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1%

57.9%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61%

28.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87%

64.13%

Score Analysis

Freiburg 41.24%

Mainz 05 33.04%

Draw 25.71%

Freiburg	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.24%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.04%