MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 15:20:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Leverkusen logo

Mainz 05
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alario (30')
Bender (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga match between Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
19%20.47%60.53%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.16%37.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.91%60.08%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66%33.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04%69.96%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86%12.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.27%37.73%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 19%
    Bayer Leverkusen 60.53%
    Draw 20.47%
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.15%
1-0 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 19%
1-1 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-3 @ 6.95%
0-3 @ 6.33%
2-3 @ 3.82%
1-4 @ 3.67%
0-4 @ 3.34%
2-4 @ 2.01%
1-5 @ 1.55%
0-5 @ 1.41%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 60.53%

Head to Head
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Alario (93')
Wendell (58')
Wendell (71')
Feb 8, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
1-5
B. Leverkusen
Quaison (9')
Kunde (38'), Quaison (61'), Barreiro (89')
Wendell (5'), Havertz (20'), Brandt (30', 64'), Bellarabi (43')
Bellarabi (38')
Sep 23, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Havertz (62')
Bender (4'), Kohr (68')

Oztunali (72'), Bell (81')
Jan 28, 2018 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Mainz
Bailey (48'), Wendell (68' pen.)
Bailey (2')

de Jong (18'), Donati (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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