Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 26

Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
0 - 3
Mainz

Kampl (37'), Olmo (65'), Orban (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Caci (61'), Ingvartsen (64'), Hanche-Olsen (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, March 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Mainz 05

Leipzig have been extremely consistent at the Red Bull Arena during Rose's tenure, and we expect them to deliver another home victory to potentially move into the top four on Saturday. However, Mainz have proven tough to beat throughout the majority of Svensson's two-year reign, and this weekend's meeting with Die Roten Bullen should prove no different even if they may fall short in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
61.87% ( -0.19)	20.4% ( 0.08)	17.72% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.29% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.34% (

-0.18)

39.66% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.99% (

-0.18)

62.01% (

0.18)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.68% (

-0.11)

12.32% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.88% (

-0.22)

38.12% (

0.22)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.2% (

0.01)

35.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.42% (

0.02)

72.57% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 61.87%

Mainz 05 17.72%

Draw 20.4%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.77% Total : 61.87%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.4%	1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.72%