Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Onisiwo (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Gross (28'), Stage (42'), Ducksch (59'), Gruev (81'), Stark (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 3-1 Werder Bremen

Mainz have been blowing sides away in the league of late, scoring 10 goals in their games with Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach. Their next opponents are very much out-of-form, meaning a routine home win is potentially on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Werder Bremen
56.38% ( 0.01)	21.86% ( -0)	21.76% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.22% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61% (

-0)

40.39% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.23%

62.76% (

-0)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.81% (

14.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.1% (

0.01)

41.9% (

-0.01)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

-0.01)

32.15% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37% (

-0.01)

68.63% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 56.38%

Werder Bremen 21.76%

Draw 21.85%

Mainz 05	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.38%	1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.76%