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Bundesliga
Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Hoffenheim logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Hoffenheim

Pieper (76')
Schmid (28'), Schmidt (54'), Bittencourt (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kramaric (50'), Baumgartner (52')
Bebou (57'), Baumgartner (63'), Nsoki (82'), Geiger (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, March 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-2 Hoffenheim

 Despite finally ending their miserable losing streak in their last match, we are not convinced that Hoffenheim have fully turned a corner just yet, and they may struggle to claim an away victory on Sunday. Werder undoubtedly have far less pressure on their shoulders, and we can envisage an open encounter as a result, with a potential share of the spoils as an outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
40.11% (0.968 0.97) 24.86% (-0.115 -0.11) 35.03% (-0.847 -0.85)
Both teams to score 58.05% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.424 0.42)45.19% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.404 0.4)67.54% (-0.396 -0.4)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.67400000000001 0.67)22.45% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01% (0.99299999999999 0.99)55.99% (-0.985 -0.98)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.279 -0.28)25.15% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.39 -0.39)59.86% (0.398 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 40.11%
    Hoffenheim 35.03%
    Draw 24.86%
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.03%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim

Werder Bremen
59.4%
Draw
27.5%
Hoffenheim
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-2
Werder Bremen
Dabour (32')
Geiger (8')
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
Oct 25, 2020 5pm
Werder Bremen
1-1
Hoffenheim
Eggestein (5')
Friedl (79'), Gebre Selassie (90+2')
Geiger (22')
Posch (59'), Gacinovic (89')
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Klaassen (34'), Friedl (60')
Klaassen (65' og.), Baumgartner (79'), Adamyan (83')
Posch (22'), Kramaric (38')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-2
Werder Bremen
Bicakcic (54'), Bebou (59'), Kaderabek (87')
Rudy (46'), Bittencourt (91')
Fullkrug (42'), Osako (81')
Klaassen (35'), Eggestein (69'), Moisander (92'), Harnik (94')
Eggestein (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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