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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Koln logo

Augsburg
1 - 3
FC Koln

Vargas (29')
Vargas (6'), Iago (45+2'), Engels (56')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Skhiri (7'), Martel (16'), Maina (59')
Martel (25'), Schindler (27'), Hubers (72'), Skhiri (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Augsburg
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-1 FC Koln

Both sides would benefit greatly from a win to ease any doubts with relegation still on their minds, but neither have shown the cutting edge needed to be victorious in recent weeks. While Augsburg are the masters of letting winning positions slip, Koln are the most prolific side at coming from behind, having taken a league-high 12 points from losing positions in the Bundesliga this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawFC Koln
37.18% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.08% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 36.75% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)50.5% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (-0.084 -0.08)72.43% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)26.41% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)61.57% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)26.65% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)61.89% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 37.18%
    FC Koln 36.75%
    Draw 26.07%
AugsburgDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Augsburg vs FC Koln

Augsburg
52.4%
Draw
33.3%
FC Koln
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-4
FC Koln
Niederlechner (73')
Gruezo (42'), Oxford (69')
Thielmann (12'), Uth (15'), Modeste (63' pen., 77')
Thielmann (53'), Kainz (60'), Hubers (75'), Kilian (80')
Dec 10, 2021 7.30pm
FC Koln
0-2
Augsburg

Kilian (57'), Baumgart (79'), Ozcan (87')
Hahn (72'), Dorsch (88')
Gregoritsch (25'), Dorsch (41'), Gouweleeuw (57'), Cordova (86')
Apr 23, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Gumny (54'), Vargas (62')
Gumny (45+2'), Gruezo (52')
Duda (8', 33'), Kainz (23')
Wolf (45'), Rexhbecaj (80'), Duda (90')
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Augsburg

Modeste (64'), Bornauw (74')
Iago (77')
Uduokhai (12'), Gouweleeuw (64'), Richter (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Stuttgart93421716113
11Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
12Augsburg103341320-712
13Heidenheim93151212010
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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