MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:32:36| >> :60:277:277:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Final | 2nd Leg
Nov 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Arena MRV
Flamengo

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Flamengo


Lyanco (37'), Rabello (45+3')
Saravia (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Plata (82')
Pulgar (39'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, November 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, November 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Flamengo (Flamengo wins 4-2 on aggregate)

 The coaching change at Flamengo has worked out well, as this team are playing with more confidence and poise on the back end, which is why we expect they will maintain their advantage and be crowned champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
34.74% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 27.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 37.98% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)76.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)66.51% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)28.35% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.031999999999996 0.03)64.09% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 34.73%
    Flamengo 37.97%
    Draw 27.28%
Atletico MineiroDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 37.97%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo

Atletico Mineiro
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Flamengo
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 7pm
Final 1st Leg
Flamengo
3-1
Atletico Mineiro
De Arrascaeta (11'), Barbosa (39', 74')
Sandro (56')
Kardec (80')
Arana (54'), Everson (90+7')
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 14
Atletico Mineiro
2-4
Flamengo
Hulk (57' pen., 90')
Helberth Pereira Junior (49'), Vitor Monteiro (62'), Battaglia (71')
Helberth Pereira Junior (64')
Henrique (14', 68'), Moises de Lima (24'), Lucas (51')
Henrique (41'), Lucas (52')
> Preview
Nov 29, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 36
Flamengo
0-3
Atletico Mineiro

Bruno (45+2'), Gerson (66'), Pereira (73')
Paulinho (8'), Edenilson (47'), Rubens (82')
Zaracho (45+1'), Jemerson (51')
Jul 30, 2023 1am
Gameweek 17
Atletico Mineiro
1-2
Flamengo
Paulinho (33')
Saravia (19'), Everson (44'), Pavon (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (80'), Wesley (87')
Luis (15'), Pereira (25'), De Arrascaeta (81'), Barbosa (90+2'), Cunha (90+4')
Oct 16, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Flamengo
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Everton (38')
rhs 2.0
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