Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV
Atletico Mineiro3 - 0River Plate
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Saturday, October 19 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
49
We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 River Plate
This looks like a fairly even match, and we expect the opening leg to play out that way between two sound defensive units, but no one having a decisive edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | River Plate |
41.51% ( -0.02) | 27.5% ( 0.01) | 30.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
