Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol2 - 0Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Wanderers
Saturday, May 11 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 11 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Rosario 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Penarol win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
25.37% ( 0.02) | 27.4% ( -0.01) | 47.23% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.31% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.63% ( 0.04) | 59.37% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.25% ( 0.03) | 79.75% ( -0.03) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.58% ( 0.04) | 39.42% ( -0.04) |