Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Atletico Mineiro2 - 1Rosario
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Mineiro and Rosario Central.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caracas 1-4 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Rosario
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Rosario Central |
65.79% ( -0.03) | 21.65% ( 0.01) | 12.56% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 40.28% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.34% ( 0.01) | 54.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.01% ( 0.01) | 75.99% ( -0.01) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.07% ( -0) | 15.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.8% ( -0.01) | 45.2% ( 0.01) |
Rosario Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.92% ( 0.04) | 52.08% ( -0.04) |