MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 21:11:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
May 11, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Montevideo Wanderers

Penarol
1 - 0
Wanderers

Fernandez (79' pen.)
Fernandez (90+4'), Acosta (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bontempo (19'), Rolon (31'), Alberti (78'), Morales (90+9')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caracas 0-1 Penarol
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
PenarolDrawMontevideo Wanderers
62.53% (-0.153 -0.15) 22.5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 14.97% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 43.74% (0.402 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (0.335 0.34)53.35% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.284 0.28)74.89% (-0.286 -0.29)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.064000000000007 0.06)16.58% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63% (0.11799999999999 0.12)46.37% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (0.444 0.44)47.56% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (0.327 0.33)82.91% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 62.52%
    Montevideo Wanderers 14.97%
    Draw 22.5%
PenarolDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 12.73% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.52% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.18% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.97%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Wanderers
0-0
Penarol
Suarez (52'), Figueredo (59')
Homenchenko (80')
Jun 24, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 3
Wanderers
0-0
Penarol
Camargo (42'), Figueredo (61'), Risso (68'), Fonseca (71')
Menosse (76'), Sanchez (90+1'), Homenchenko (90+4')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Penarol
1-1
Wanderers
Rodriguez (15' pen.)
Hernandez (26'), Menosse (71'), Arezo (90+5')
Fonseca (68')
Fonseca (36'), Cerro (57'), Fonseca (71')
Cerro (90+6')
Oct 2, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 11
Wanderers
0-2
Penarol
Rak (13'), Laquintana (90+2')
Jul 16, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Wanderers
3-3
Penarol
Bravo (42'), Hernandez (58'), Santurio (69')
Univaso (30'), Bravo (39'), Garcia (80'), Lacerda (86'), Silveira (87')
Estol (87')
Bentancourt (34', 48', 90+5')
Alvarez (42'), O'Neil (44')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!