Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Wanderers3 - 3Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maldonado 1-2 Wanderers
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, July 9 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 20 | 4 | 32 |
5 | Montevideo Wanderers | 19 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Penarol | 19 | 4 | 30 |
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Fenix
Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, July 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Montevideo Wanderers | 19 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Penarol | 19 | 4 | 30 |
7 | Defensor Sporting | 19 | 0 | 29 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Penarol |
26.99% ( -0.42) | 29.63% ( 0.23) | 43.38% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 40.83% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.42% ( -0.84) | 65.58% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.7% ( -0.59) | 84.3% ( 0.59) |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.48% ( -0.84) | 41.52% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% ( -0.75) | 78.02% ( 0.75) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -0.32) | 30.17% ( 0.32) |