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Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena MRV
Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro
vs.
Fluminense

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Quarter-Finals clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, September 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Bragantino
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, September 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Botafogo
Saturday, September 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw has a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fluminense has a probability of 24.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Fluminense win it is 0-1 (8.4%).

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFluminense
49.45% (1.075 1.08) 26.32% (0.058 0.06) 24.22% (-1.137 -1.14)
Both teams to score 47.23% (-1.202 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-1.039 -1.04)56.36% (1.037 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.848 -0.85)77.38% (0.845 0.84)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.043000000000006 0.04)22.85% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.065000000000005 0.07)56.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22% (-1.597 -1.6)38.78% (1.594 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49% (-1.545 -1.55)75.51% (1.542 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 49.45%
    Fluminense 24.23%
    Draw 26.32%
Atletico MineiroDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 9.65% (0.404 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.45%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.23%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2024 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Fluminense
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Lima (87')
Lima (80'), Thiago (90'), Marcelo (90+4')

Franco (78'), Palacios (90+4')
Aug 25, 2024 1am
Gameweek 24
Atletico Mineiro
0-2
Fluminense

Fuchs (23'), Lyanco (42'), Rubens (63'), Arana (78'), Paulinho (81')
Serna (23'), Arias (59')
Ganso (43'), Martinelli (71'), Menezes (74'), Fabio (90+3')
May 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
Fluminense
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Cano (4'), Augusto (61')
Barbosa (12'), Arias (20'), Cano (31'), Melo (43'), Ganso (45+5')
Vargas (73', 79')
Jemerson (45+5'), Paulinho (51')
Oct 29, 2023 1am
Gameweek 30
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Fluminense
Paulinho (62', 83')
Rubens (52'), Jemerson (59')

Lele (49'), Diniz (50')
Jun 22, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Fluminense
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Xavier (45+1')
Diniz (0'), Andre (90+5'), Kennedy (90+8')
Diniz (90+10')
Guga (35' og.)
Hyoran (32'), Felipe Scolari (33'), Battaglia (89'), Arana (90+5'), Hulk (90')
rhs 2.0
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