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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Oct 19, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Borja (49' pen.)
Pezzella (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (26')
Bouzat (45'), Jonas Rodriguez Lucas (86')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, October 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Racing
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
59.22% (-0.295 -0.3) 23.08% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 17.7% (0.386 0.39)
Both teams to score 47.58% (0.97 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (0.919 0.92)51.23% (-0.92 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (0.8 0.8)73.06% (-0.79899999999999 -0.8)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.223 0.22)16.98% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92% (0.395 0.39)47.08% (-0.395 -0.39)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31% (1.016 1.02)42.69% (-1.017 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97% (0.852 0.85)79.03% (-0.852 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 59.21%
    Velez Sarsfield 17.7%
    Draw 23.07%
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.74% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 59.21%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.7%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
5-0
Velez Sarsfield
Colidio (6', 45'), Borja (20', 31', 55')
Aliendro (45+2')

Gomez (27'), Florentin (53'), Bouzat (65')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
River Plate
Aquino (22'), Castro (60')
Gomez (82'), Romero (86'), Florentin (90+3'), Gordillo (90+6')

Perez (49')
May 30, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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