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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
Oct 2, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio El Fortin de Luduena

Rosario
3 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Malcorra (28' pen.), Sandez (76'), Ortiz (85')
Lovera (58'), Ortiz (59'), Mallo (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (79')
Fernandez (25')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 1-0 Rosario
Sunday, September 22 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 34.93%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
34.93% (0.483 0.48) 30.66% (-0.107 -0.11) 34.41% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 40.44% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.9% (0.314 0.31)67.1% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.67% (0.209 0.21)85.33% (-0.209 -0.21)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.513 0.51)36.22% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.517 0.52)73.01% (-0.518 -0.52)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)36.58% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)73.37% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 34.92%
    Velez Sarsfield 34.41%
    Draw 30.65%
Rosario CentralDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 34.92%
1-1 @ 13.53%
0-0 @ 13.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.65%
0-1 @ 13.32% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 34.41%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 9
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Rosario
Osorio (87')
Bouzat (39'), Aquino (82')

Sandez (27'), Ortiz (46'), Martinez (57'), Mallo (83')
Oct 20, 2023 12.45am
Gameweek 9
Rosario
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Lovera (68' pen.)
Malcorra (54'), Martinez (79')
Castro (29')
Gomez (37'), Castro (56'), Pizzini (66'), Caseres (90+5')
May 16, 2023 12.30am
Jun 20, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 2
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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