MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:34:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 0
Rosario

Orellano (6'), Fernandez (84')
Fernandez (49'), Perrone (75'), Ortega (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gamba (64'), Torrent (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Rosario Central

Last Six:
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Rosario Central

 Velez have stumbled into the new season, picking up one point from the first nine to already sit in the lower echelons of the table. Rosario Central dug deep to secure all three points last time out and we predict they will build on that result and come out victorious on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
54.74% (-0.276 -0.28) 24.05% (0.156 0.16) 21.21% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.504 -0.5)50.55% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.447 -0.45)72.47% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)18.36% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.497 -0.5)49.47% (0.493 0.49)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.169 -0.17)38.41% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83% (-0.161 -0.16)75.16% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 54.73%
    Rosario Central 21.21%
    Draw 24.04%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.21%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Baez (56')
Infantino (80'), Tanlongo (87'), Martinez (90+7')

Bouzat (46'), Castro (82'), Guidara (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 7.45pm
Rosario
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vecchio (90+4')
Blanco (48'), Martinez (69'), Zabala (74'), Almada (79')

Ariel Fernandez (17'), Tarragona (37')
Ariel Fernandez (36')
Jan 17, 2021 1.10am
Rosario
1-3
Velez Sarsfield
Marinelli (26')
Bottinelli (43')
Bottinelli (78'), Martinez (88')
Centurion (9' pen.), Almada (82' pen.), Monzon (90+2')
Amor (37'), Martin Lucero (78')
Galdames (84')
Oct 20, 2019 9.45pm
Rosario
0-1
Velez Sarsfield

Novaretti (36'), Rinaudo (56')
Fernandez (81')
Fernandez (87')
Dec 3, 2018 10.20pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Rosario
Robertone (69'), Almada (81')
Cufre (45')

Jose Gomez (2'), Arismendi (34'), Herrera (63'), Ortiz (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan15762157827
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
6River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
7Racing ClubRacing157352013724
8Instituto157352013724
9Deportivo Riestra167361818024
10GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
11Boca Juniors155641915421
12BelgranoBelgrano155641919021
13Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
14Platense155461314-119
15LanusLanus154741822-419
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz144641515018
17IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
18Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
19Independiente Rivadavia15537915-618
20EstudiantesEstudiantes154561516-117
21TigreTigre154561820-217
22BanfieldBanfield154561317-417
23Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
24Sarmiento153661115-415
25San Lorenzo143561113-214
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba153481625-913
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa152671022-1212
28Barracas Central15258619-1311
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!