Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate1 - 0Colo-Colo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-1 River Plate
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
We said: River Plate 2-1 Colo-Colo (River Plate advances 3-2 on aggregate)
River Plate will go into this clash on an 11-game unbeaten run at home in all competitions, and they have never lost a home game to Colo-Colo, which is why we expect the hosts to extend their home dominance on Wednesday, picking up a win to advance to the semi-final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Colo-Colo |
59.87% ( -0.01) | 21.27% ( 0) | 18.85% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
