MX23RW : Wednesday, June 26 18:47:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate

Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Rosario
Tuesday, May 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-2 River Plate

As good as Velez Sarsfield have been defensively at home, River have been far more consistent from one match to another and we expect their backline to be relatively comfortable containing an attack without much quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
26.44% (-0.741 -0.74) 26.66% (0.396 0.4) 46.91% (0.351 0.35)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-1.691 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (-1.921 -1.92)56.08% (1.927 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (-1.581 -1.58)77.15% (1.587 1.59)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-1.651 -1.65)36.67% (1.658 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-1.697 -1.7)73.46% (1.702 1.7)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.66500000000001 -0.67)23.9% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.964 -0.96)58.11% (0.971 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 26.44%
    River Plate 46.9%
    Draw 26.65%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.257 0.26)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.77% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.67 0.67)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.311 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.9%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')

Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
gameweek 7
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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