Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 4-2 Cristal
Thursday, April 20 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 20 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Racing
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Independiente |
70.03% ( 0.31) | 19.53% ( -0.25) | 10.44% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 39.8% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
