Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 7, 2022 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente0 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colon 0-3 Independiente
Tuesday, August 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, August 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Sarmiento
Monday, August 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, August 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
22.47% ( 0.4) | 24.81% ( 0.28) | 52.71% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.79% ( -0.7) | 52.21% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% ( -0.61) | 73.92% ( 0.6) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( -0) | 38.11% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.12% ( -0) | 74.87% ( -0) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.22% ( -0.55) | 19.78% ( 0.54) |