MX23RW : Friday, November 22 07:08:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Atletico Tucuman

Independiente
0 - 1
Tucuman


Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Independiente
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 1-2 Atletico Tucuman

Although Independiente emerged victorious in the most recent meeting between the two sides, they have continued to struggle in the league this season, while Atletico Tucuman have flourished, and we think the visitors will maintain their unbeaten league record by clinching a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
54.02% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 26.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 19.49% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)61.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)81.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.84% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)56.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)46.37% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)82.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 54.01%
    Atletico Tucuman 19.49%
    Draw 26.48%
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.64%
2-0 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.49%

How you voted: Independiente vs Tucuman

Independiente
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Atletico Tucuman
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 10.45pm
Tucuman
2-0
Independiente
Mussis (86'), Tesuri (87')
Campos (44'), Tesuri (88')

Ortega (45+2'), Ostachuk (56')
May 2, 2021 4.10pm
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (55'), Romero (74')
Heredia (44')
Toledo (5'), Bustos (64'), Albornoz (72'), Acosta (85')
Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Tucuman
1-1
Independiente
Heredia (40')
Toledo (43'), Alustiza (90+6')
Romero (20')
Rodriguez (86'), Romero (88')
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Independiente
1-0
Tucuman
Romero (27' pen.)
Romero (42')

Carrera (27'), Mussis (31'), Acosta (50')
Carrera (49')
Sep 22, 2019 12am
Tucuman
0-1
Independiente

Cabral (13'), Heredia (17'), Ortiz (27'), Bianchi (45'), Toledo (65')
Palacios (62')
Benavidez (17'), Franco (25'), Silva (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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