MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:16:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Estudiantes

Independiente
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Benegas (52'), Fernandez (57' pen.)
Vigo (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Godoy (82')
Rodriguez (30'), Spetale (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Estudiantes

 Estudiantes seem to have found the right balance to be successful this season, and their tight defensive setup might be challenging for Independiente to break down, while El Leon make the majority of their opportunities count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
50.92% (-0.907 -0.91) 25.81% (0.217 0.22) 23.27% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (-0.18 -0.18)55.27% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.148 -0.15)76.5% (0.151 0.15)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.458 -0.46)21.75% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.706 -0.71)54.94% (0.708 0.71)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.568 0.57)39.06% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.527 0.53)75.78% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 50.92%
    Estudiantes 23.27%
    Draw 25.81%
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.177 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.27%

How you voted: Independiente vs Estudiantes

Independiente
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Estudiantes
58.3%
24
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
2-1
Independiente
Boselli (46'), Rogel (53')
Del Prete (20')
Laso (61')
Laso (20'), Benavidez (22'), Fernandez (82')
Jul 26, 2021 12.15am
Estudiantes
0-1
Independiente
Manuel Insaurralde (15')
May 15, 2021 9.30pm
Estudiantes
0-0
Independiente
 Independiente win 4-1 on penalties

Rogel (33'), Apaolaza (75'), Sabbag (86')

Ortega (50'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Ortega (59')
Aug 20, 2019 12am
Estudiantes
3-0
Independiente
Gonzalez (47'), Garcia (72'), Kalinski (83')
Mura (18'), Kalinski (37')

Figal (18'), Barboza (45')
Sep 2, 2018 5.15pm
Estudiantes
2-2
Independiente
Apaolaza (7'), Pellegrini (26')
Luguercio (28'), Erquiaga (36'), Pellegrini (51'), Zuqui (72'), Pavone (86')
Romero (49'), Romero (56')
Figal (44'), Romero (62'), Bustos (67'), Silva (72'), Hernandez (91')
Figal (72')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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