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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 2, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio José Amalfitani
Atletico Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Tucuman


Caseres (26'), Florentin (38'), Insua (82'), Brizuela (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Capasso (18')
Sandoval (43'), Pereyra (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, June 28 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Atletico Tucuman

Tucuman boast the better form heading into this clash, but Velez Sarsfield do possess the quality to resurrect their stuttering start. Expect the hosts to click into gear and take three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
61.9% (-3.461 -3.46) 23.46% (1.425 1.43) 14.63% (2.033 2.03)
Both teams to score 40.51% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-1.369 -1.37)57.34% (1.367 1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-1.101 -1.1)78.16% (1.099 1.1)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (-1.708 -1.71)18.23% (1.704 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73% (-2.989 -2.99)49.27% (2.985 2.99)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.55% (2.364 2.36)50.45% (-2.367 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.03% (1.564 1.56)84.97% (-1.564 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 61.89%
    Atletico Tucuman 14.63%
    Draw 23.46%
Velez SarsfieldDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 13.32% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.56% (-0.929 -0.93)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.604 -0.6)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.281 -0.28)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 61.89%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.68 0.68)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 3.12% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.721 0.72)
1-2 @ 3.66% (0.462 0.46)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.374 0.37)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 14.63%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Tucuman

Velez Sarsfield
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Atletico Tucuman
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2021 1.15am
Tucuman
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Vergini (18'), Acosta (26'), Carrera (28')

Martin Lucero (37')
Centurion (90+4')
Apr 13, 2021 1.15am
Tucuman
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Benitez (13'), Lotti (76')
Heredia (49'), Risso (63'), Ortiz (87'), Erbes (90+3')

De La Fuente (49'), Mancuello (90')
Sep 17, 2019 1.10am
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
Tucuman
Janson (19')
Bouzat (43')

Bravo (36'), Diaz (81'), Acosta (85')
Mar 16, 2019 4.15pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Tucuman
Bouzat (43'), Galdames (90')
Bouzat (70'), Abram (89')

Abero (70'), Nunez (71'), San Roman (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan16772168828
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
16Platense155461314-119
17LanusLanus154741822-419
18Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
19IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Sarmiento153661115-415
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba153481625-913
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central15258619-1311


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