Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13

May 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Sarmiento
0 - 7
River Plate

Mancilla (6'), Chicco (78'), Mainero (85')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pochettino (34'), Alvarez (35', 45', 63'), Fernandez (52'), Barco (60'), Simon (70')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: River Plate vs. Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	River Plate
20.39%	23.98%	55.63%

Both teams to score 49.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78%

51.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95%

73.06%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.35%

39.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.67%

76.33%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73%

18.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67%

49.33%

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 20.39%

River Plate 55.62%

Draw 23.98%

Sarmiento	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 5.27% 2-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.35% Total : 20.39%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 12.31% 0-2 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 5.49% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-4 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.62%