Sarmiento
2 - 1
San Lorenzo

Torres (28', 80' pen.)
Mancilla (45+1'), Toledo (61'), Andueza (90+2'), Vismara (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ortigoza (90+9' pen.)
Centurion (33'), Gattoni (36'), Gordillo (76')
Gattoni (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	San Lorenzo
42.95%	28.96%	28.1%

Both teams to score 43.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.9%

63.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.46%

82.54%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82%

29.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88%

65.11%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83%

39.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12%

75.88%

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 42.94%

San Lorenzo 28.09%

Draw 28.95%

Sarmiento	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.07% 2-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 8.13% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.49% Total : 42.94%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 5.02% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.49% Total : 28.09%