Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 8, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Estudiantes2 - 0Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 San Lorenzo
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Estudiantes | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
54.4% ( 0.17) | 26.35% ( -0.06) | 19.24% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 41.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.08% ( 0.07) | 60.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.07% ( 0.05) | 80.93% ( -0.05) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( 0.1) | 22.61% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% ( 0.15) | 56.23% ( -0.15) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.43% ( -0.1) | 46.57% ( 0.1) |