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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Oct 17, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Estudiantes

Velez Sarsfield
4 - 0
Estudiantes

Janson (37' pen.), Osorio (72', 85'), Ortega (78')
Castro (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morel (36'), Noguera (88')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-1 Talleres
Thursday, October 13 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 3-1 Estudiantes
Friday, October 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawEstudiantes
58.29% (-0.713 -0.71) 23.58% (0.289 0.29) 18.13% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.515 -0.52)52.57% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.443 -0.44)74.23% (0.44199999999999 0.44)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.21% (-0.443 -0.44)17.79% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.49% (-0.77 -0.77)48.51% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.03% (0.205 0.2)42.97% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.73% (0.173 0.17)79.26% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 58.28%
    Estudiantes 18.13%
    Draw 23.57%
Velez SarsfieldDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.19% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 58.28%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.71% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes

Velez Sarsfield
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Estudiantes
20.0%
5
Head to Head
May 24, 2022 11.15pm
Velez Sarsfield
4-0
Estudiantes
Janson (21', 43'), Pratto (73'), Osorio (83')

Valdez (12'), Lattanzio (37'), Beltran (69'), Morel (85')
Valdez (76')
Apr 8, 2022 1am
Estudiantes
4-1
Velez Sarsfield
Mas (6'), Rogel (42'), Del Prete (53'), Zapiola (88')
Diaz (22'), Godoy (29'), Rodriguez (71'), Lattanzio (90')
Janson (35')
Gianetti (38'), Pratto (90')
Mar 7, 2022 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Estudiantes
Janson (10')
Garayalde (41'), Gomez (69'), Hoyos (71')
Diaz (89')
Lattanzio (27'), Morel (65'), Diaz (72')
Nov 28, 2021 12.30am
Estudiantes
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Diaz (35' pen.)
Rogel (37'), Zapiola (41'), Diaz (56'), Godoy (77')

Janson (17'), Gianetti (28'), Guidara (33'), Mancuello (37')
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Zone Six
Velez Sarsfield
2-3
Estudiantes
Tarragona (6'), Alvarez (40')
Gianetti (20'), Brizuela (35'), Cavanagh (81'), Mancuello (88')
Garcia (17'), Gianetti (37' og.), Rodriguez (45')
Pasquini (39'), Rodriguez (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan15762157827
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9Deportivo Riestra167361818024
10GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
11Boca Juniors155641915421
12BelgranoBelgrano155641919021
13Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
14Platense155461314-119
15LanusLanus154741822-419
16Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz144641515018
18IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
19Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
20EstudiantesEstudiantes154561516-117
21TigreTigre154561820-217
22BanfieldBanfield154561317-417
23Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
24Sarmiento153661115-415
25San Lorenzo143561113-214
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba153481625-913
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa152671022-1212
28Barracas Central15258619-1311


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