Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20

Sep 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Armoa (6'), Colidio (22')
Castro (9'), Retegui (44'), Galmarini (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Insua (21'), Garayalde (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 45.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
45.66% ( 0.05)	27.54% ( -0.01)	26.79% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 45.99% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.96% (

-0.01)

59.03% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.5% (

-0.01)

79.49% (

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17% (

0.02)

25.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

0.03)

60.79% (

-0.03)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62% (

-0.05)

37.99% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

-0.05)

74.76% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Tigre 45.66%

Velez Sarsfield 26.79%

Draw 27.54%

Tigre	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.66%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.79%