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San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Ortigoza (90+11' pen.)
Zapata (45+1'), Giay (64'), Elias (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomez (24'), de los Santos (45+3'), Seoane (90+1')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-0 San Lorenzo
Tuesday, October 4 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Banfield
Wednesday, October 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawVelez Sarsfield
41.86% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 27.56% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 30.58% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (0.277 0.28)57.47% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (0.219 0.22)78.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (0.161 0.16)27.07% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (0.208 0.21)62.45% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (0.16 0.16)34.15% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.171 0.17)70.84% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 41.86%
    Velez Sarsfield 30.58%
    Draw 27.56%
San LorenzoDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.86%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.58%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 9pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-1
San Lorenzo
Janson (2', 29')
Poblete (34'), Martin Lucero (38'), de los Santos (60'), Hoyos (68'), Mancuello (87'), Caseres (90+2'), Orellano (90+4')
Ortega (17' og.)
Zapata (39'), Di Santo (68'), Flores (69'), Gordillo (72'), Ortigoza (90+1')
Feb 9, 2020 8.35pm
San Lorenzo
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Moreno (29')
Moreno (34'), Romero (90')
Coloccini (42')

Romero (47'), de los Santos (58'), Centurion (63')
Gianetti (90')
Nov 13, 2018 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
San Lorenzo

Dominguez (19'), Cubero (53'), Cufre (76'), Robertone (79')

Poblete (51'), Coloccini (68')
rhs 2.0
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Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
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4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
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