Lanus

2 - 0

San Lorenzo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.74%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.