MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:17:02| >> :60:283:283:
Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense
5 - 1
River Plate

Cano (29', 53', 86'), Arias (75', 90+1')
Melo (26'), Andre (77'), Lima (89'), Ganso (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Beltran (39')
Gonzalez Pirez (27'), Perez (31'), Beltran (45+3'), Aliendro (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Fluminense and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, April 29 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawRiver Plate
39.38% (-0.518 -0.52) 24.94% (0.152 0.15) 35.68% (0.366 0.37)
Both teams to score 57.87% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (-0.658 -0.66)45.47% (0.658 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (-0.634 -0.63)67.8% (0.634 0.63)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.548 -0.55)22.94% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (-0.814 -0.81)56.71% (0.816 0.82)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)24.9% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)59.52% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 39.38%
    River Plate 35.68%
    Draw 24.94%
FluminenseDrawRiver Plate
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.38%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head
May 25, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
River Plate
1-3
Fluminense
Girotti (85')
De La Cruz (32'), Martinez (49'), Suarez (65')
Maidana (67')
Paulista (22'), Nene (29'), Yago (90+2')
Martinelli (27'), Xavier (61'), Paulista (68')
Apr 22, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Fluminense
1-1
River Plate
Montiel (13' pen.), Fred (66')
Yago (65'), Fred (81'), Martinelli (88')
rhs 2.0
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