Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 7, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate1 - 0Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 5-1 River Plate
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-2 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Boca Juniors |
62.16% ( -2.34) | 22.04% ( 0.85) | 15.8% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
