Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15

May 7, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Borja (90+3' pen.)
Aliendro (4'), Gonzalez Pirez (15'), Diaz (35'), Perez (45+1'), Casco (67')
Palavecino (90+13'), Centurion (90+14'), Gomez (90+14')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandez (21'), Varela (40'), Figal (41'), Fernandez (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Fluminense 5-1 River Plate
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-2 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Boca Juniors
62.16% ( -2.34)	22.04% ( 0.85)	15.8% ( 1.49)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.85% (

-0.71)

50.14% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.89% (

-0.63)

72.11% (

0.64)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.4% (

-0.98)

15.6% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.41% (

-1.86)

44.58% (

1.87)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.53% (

1.65)

44.47% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.49% (

1.31)

80.51% (

-1.3)

Score Analysis

River Plate 62.16%

Boca Juniors 15.8%

Draw 22.03%

River Plate	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.4) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.16%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.03%	0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.47% Total : 15.8%