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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 14, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
River Plate

Villa (41' pen.)
Zambrano (16'), Medina (65'), Villa (73'), Varela (87')
Zambrano (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Palavecino (67')
Casco (73')
Casco (79')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
27.01%24.48%48.51%
Both teams to score 55.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77%69.24%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65%31.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28%67.72%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73%51.27%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 27.01%
    River Plate 48.51%
    Draw 24.47%
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-1 @ 6.71%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.01%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-2 @ 8.18%
1-3 @ 5.18%
0-3 @ 4.47%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 48.51%

Head to Head
Jan 3, 2021 12.30am
Fase Campeon
Boca Juniors
2-2
River Plate
Buffarini (13'), Campuzano (29'), Tevez (90+3'), Villa (90+4')
Campuzano (58')
Carrascal (45+2'), Perez (62'), Montiel (75')
Perez (80')
Oct 23, 2019 1.30am
Semi-Finals
Boca Juniors
1-0
River Plate
Hurtado (80')
Mac Allister (45'), Marcone (54'), Tevez (72')

Fernandez (55'), Perez (79'), Diaz (88'), Scocco (89'), Martinez (92')
Oct 2, 2019 1.30am
Sep 1, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 5
River Plate
0-0
Boca Juniors
Perez (33'), Casco (84'), Fernandez (87')
Izquierdoz (18'), Lopez (24'), Marcone (37'), Hurtado (41'), Capaldo (55'), Andrada (64'), Fabra (91')
Dec 9, 2018 7.30pm
-
River Plate
3-1
Boca Juniors
Pratto (68'), Quintero (109'), Martinez (122')
Ponzio (27'), Fernandez (81'), Maidana (83'), Casco (121')
Benedetto (44')
Perez (43'), Barrios (87'), Tevez (121')
Barrios (92')
rhs 2.0
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