Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.