Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.96%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 30.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.