Velez Sarsfield
1 - 7
Boca Juniors

Martin Lucero (26')
Amor (19'), Galdames (57')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Cardona (21'), Villa (31', 53'), Maroni (55', 74'), Tevez (62'), Campuzano (89')
Capaldo (10'), Zambrano (25'), Campuzano (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Boca Juniors
32.56%	28.3%	39.14%

Both teams to score 46.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.35%

59.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03%

79.97%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13%

33.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46%

70.54%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3%

65.69%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 32.56%

Boca Juniors 39.13%

Draw 28.29%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.56%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.29%	0-1 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.54% Total : 39.13%