MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:36:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-2 Bayer Leverkusen

 Bayern have been incredible from an offensive perspective this season, and given Leverkusen's defensive vulnerability this term, they could plausibly create numerous goalscoring opportunities. Alonso's side have been strong offensively themselves, but while the likes of Wirtz and Boniface may score, it is difficult to see how they can win if Bayern are as strong offensively on Saturday as they have been in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
48.47% (-4.191 -4.19) 23.22% (1.243 1.24) 28.31% (2.948 2.95)
Both teams to score 60.66% (-1.737 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (-3.474 -3.47)40.4% (3.473 3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.67 -3.67)62.77% (3.67 3.67)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (-2.716 -2.72)16.9% (2.716 2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04% (-5.057 -5.06)46.95% (5.056 5.06)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.285 0.28)26.99% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.372 0.37)62.34% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 48.47%
    Bayer Leverkusen 28.31%
    Draw 23.22%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.553 0.55)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.39 -0.39)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.56 -0.56)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.447 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.35 -0.35)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.801 0.8)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.692 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.578 0.58)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.948 0.95)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.647 0.65)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.294 0.29)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.31%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
69.8%
Draw
18.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
11.8%
169
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Bayern
Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Bayern
Palacios (55' pen., 73' pen.)
Kimmich (22')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Sule (18')
Coman (72')
Muller (36' og.)
Bakker (32'), Demirbay (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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