MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:25:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
Bayern logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Bayern

Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')

The Match

Match Report

Bayer Leverkusen record a statement 3-0 victory over title rivals Bayern Munich to move five points clear at the top of the Bundesliga table.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBayern Munich
37.61% (-0.352 -0.35) 23.34% (0.275 0.28) 39.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 64.03% (-1.094 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.46% (-1.41 -1.41)37.54% (1.41 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.23% (-1.53 -1.53)59.77% (1.529 1.53)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (-0.789 -0.79)20.31% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31% (-1.271 -1.27)52.69% (1.27 1.27)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.571 -0.57)19.64% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.939 -0.94)51.6% (0.939 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.61%
    Bayern Munich 39.05%
    Draw 23.33%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.277 0.28)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.266 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.323 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.172 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Bayern

Bayer Leverkusen
36.6%
Draw
23.5%
Bayern Munich
39.9%
183
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Bayern
Palacios (55' pen., 73' pen.)
Kimmich (22')
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Sule (18')
Coman (72')
Muller (36' og.)
Bakker (32'), Demirbay (54')
Oct 17, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
B. Leverkusen
1-5
Bayern
Schick (55')
Lewandowski (4', 30'), Muller (34'), Gnabry (35', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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