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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
37.61% ( -0.35) | 23.34% ( 0.28) | 39.05% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 64.03% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.46% ( -1.41) | 37.54% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.23% ( -1.53) | 59.77% ( 1.53) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( -0.79) | 20.31% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.31% ( -1.27) | 52.69% ( 1.27) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( -0.57) | 19.64% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( -0.94) | 51.6% ( 0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 39.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |