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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
81.38% ( -0.18) | 11.75% ( 0.06) | 6.87% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.48% ( 0.18) | 26.52% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.11% ( 0.23) | 46.88% ( -0.23) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.1% ( 0) | 4.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.34% ( 0.01) | 19.66% ( -0.02) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.32% ( 0.46) | 44.68% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.32% ( 0.37) | 80.68% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
3-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.57% Total : 81.38% | 1-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.02% Total : 11.75% | 1-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 6.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Heidenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
16 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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