B. Leverkusen3 - 1SC Paderborn
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
for
Sunday, December 3 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
for
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 SC Paderborn
SC Paderborn pulled off a major upset on their travels in the second round, but we do not see them managing the same again against a Bayer Leverkusen side who are yet to lose a competitive game this term. Even with rotations anticipated, Alonso's men should certainly have the quality to progress to the quarter-finals on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SC Paderborn |
66.97% ( -0.05) | 17.55% ( 0.13) | 15.48% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 61.95% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.88% ( -0.88) | 30.11% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.67% ( -1.07) | 51.33% ( 1.07) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.64% ( -0.24) | 8.36% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.9% ( -0.6) | 29.1% ( 0.6) |
SC Paderborn Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( -0.69) | 32.4% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% ( -0.78) | 68.91% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SC Paderborn |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.74% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.55% | 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 15.48% |
How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn
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1 | Liverpool | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Arsenal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
4 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 22 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 20 |
8 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
10 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
12 | Aston Villa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 18 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 |
15 | Everton | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 9 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
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